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Barr has been a long time great feature for a given Ko macroeconomic single level of alertness due to investors' high levels of concerns about the economic situation and lack of certainty about the quality of light given conflicting macroeconomic data released in recent months.


In light of the slowdown to the recession and attacks the house market is serious concern that the continued difficulties in the labor market could lead to a snowball that would pass through the injury significantly hurt consumer spending growth to double back into recession.


The main emphasis will be on the private sector as the government is expected to fire a fair amount of temporary workers, but these layoffs were expected in light of the end of the census project and therefore not expected to affect the market.


Many analysts attribute the data month point Peveot role of capital market - a figure well send the indices increases in the medium term and weaken the dollar, given poor will ignite a wave of dollar sales and escape.



Table data for today includes:


10:15 Consumer Price Index in Switzerland.
11:00 PMI services in Europe.
11:30 PMI services in England.
12:00 Retail sales in Europe.
15:30 monthly changes in the number of jobs without the agricultural sector (employment report / NFP), unemployment rate and the change paid while the United States.
17:00 PMI's U.S. services



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Little response was recorded following the publication of minutes of the Fed at its meeting in August, due to the sequence of the speeches of Chairman Bernanke revealed the contents of the protocol in advance. Bernanke's speeches matched the record pointed to the fact that growth has slowed in recent months.


Throughout the month of August there has been no meaningful movement stable buyers, despite the lack of willingness to buy yesterday, the wave was recorded at the end of modest purchases this month. The buyers were able to push the indices increases raised the average trading volumes over the last period.


However, even this wave was not stable enough, and managed to drag most of the investors, who preferred to sit on the fence and did not want to jump back to the stock market, especially for the employment report on Friday. Caution for the data Friday sent the index to crawl back down until the end of the trading day flat.


A glance at the data we get today with the publication of change in the number of jobs by ADP company that produces pay slips to private companies.


As a continued decline in stock markets (indices dropped three of four months) because of the increase investors' concerns and expectations for the employment figures, investors continue to pump money from the stock market bond market, while they send the bond prices and yields to the sky (the bond interest rate derivative ) new base. return on government bonds fell to 10 years closer to 2.4770% Bi low 2.42% annual


Data from Australia and China are good night sent the indices in Asia rises goals. Australia introduced a large growth in demand expected in light of immigration from China and other countries in Asia, where growth jumped to 1.2% against expectations of 0.9% only. Meanwhile, China's Purchasing Managers Index rose to 51.7 to 51.6 against the expectation of an earlier reading of 51.2. Although the increase is not large, but it heralds at least stop the slowdown in companies.




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Dow Jones closed 0.05% owner of the 10 015 gate and finished the month decline of 4.31%


Nasdaq closed 0.28% decline of the cover of 2114 and ended the month decline of 6.25%



S & P 500 closed 0.01% decline of the cover of 1049, ending the month's 4.80% decline



Dax closed 0.22% owner of the cover of 5925 and ended the month decline of 3.63%



Potts closed the owner of 0.45% on the cover of 5225 and ended the month decline of 0.62%



Nikkei traded owner of 1.00% on the cover of 8912 and ended the month decline of 6.85%




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Preparations for publication of the employment report on Friday in the U.S. underway, investors are improving positions and entering on alert. Today we will look ahead and think about data from ADP employment report that prints coupons company hired private companies. In light of the swing of temporary employment by the U.S. government for census, investors search for a given private-sector jobs and a significant proportion will figure large. Therefore forecast by ADP relatively high significance of the month.




Table data today includes:
09:00 German retail sales.
09:30 change in commodity prices in Australia.
10:30 PMI Switzerland.
11:00's PMI manufacturing sector in Europe.
11:30's PMI manufacturing sector in England.
15:15 change in employment in the private sector non-farm ADP by the U.S. company.
17:00's PMI manufacturing sector spent U.S. Construction
17:30 U.S. oil stocks.





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EUR / USD
Another month of falling stock markets and led to the rate closed the month of declines against the dollar. Euro falls to break led to the average back to the delete about half the 100 monthly increase in July (the big declines course correction). With important macro data Thursday and Friday rate is currently at present, according to the mood of investors can go for low or a new record, but patience is required to detect the development of the next trend. Rate ended the last owner of 0.21% on the cover of 1.2690, expect today: See Graph A.



GBP / USD
Pound could not keep the long-term average of breaking 20 monthly, it performed last month, closed the month below the average 20, and yesterday also broke the 200 daily average. At this stage it appears that the pound will decline, but the sequel depends on developments at the scene of the dollar (mainly against Euro) share indices. If data will be better weekend Euro exchanges will begin to get the pound would join the celebration despite breaking down, but all across the state will lead to a surprising optimism for further declines. The pound finished the last drop of 0.72% on the cover of 1.5349, expect for the day: see graph in



USD / JPY:
The pair keeps close to alarming lows many years moving around the 84 dollar wine. Waiting position due to fears investors snap into positions prior to the weekend data from a position of waiting leading indicators over the strong technical support lines. Ahkorolcia (connection) between the pair exchanges is high, so it is likely that the pair will react similar to what is happening on the exchanges. Dollar finished yesterday's 0.44% decline of 84.18 Gate, Forecast for today: See Graph C



USD / CAD:
The Canadian dollar weakened in light of declines in world oil prices. Canadian dollar weakening the pair raised the technical resistance levels, the big question is whether the pair has enough momentum to break through those levels? In light of investors' unwillingness to enter a long position, there is likely to pair will continue his long shuffle (in the range of 1.01 to 1.07 in four months). Yesterday, the dollar finished the owner of 0.46% on the cover of 1.0645, forecast for today: See Graph D.



Gold:
Increase investors' concerns and expectation preparation for U.S. employment figures sent the gold to continue strengthening. Continued rise in gold stands out, especially in light of the stock markets anemia and lack of willingness of investors to enter positions. Purposefully cheat gold approaching all time high, but at this level will be dependent on the renewal, the sequel falls receiving stock markets are not good macro data. gold finished yesterday the owner of 0.89% on the cover of $ 1,247 per ounce, forecast for today: Continue on toward $ 1,260 an ounce



Oil;
Oil fell below $ 72 a barrel, given preliminary data indicate that the levels of demand going down parallel to the existence of full high. Much of the drop in oil demand due to slowdown in private consumers. Therefore, the monthly employment figures published on Friday expected to have a great impact on the price of oil, because the more employees, so consumers have more purchasing power and hence the demand exceeds (or at least demand exceeding expectations). Due to the waiting position where the market is unlikely that oil would break the barrier of the $ 70 down, but left to fix up. Forecast for today: on the $ 74.10

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Traders continued to exercise caution and refused to enter positions in light of expectations for another weak employment report expected Friday, lack of readiness of buyers to enter the game and create support for the leading indicators sent the slowly but surely close another day of sharp declines.



Measures have failed in an attempt to continue where they stopped last week, there were no significant quarterly reports yesterday will break the atmosphere Ahfasimioat private consumption due to warm U.S..



In July, personal income increased by 0.2% in accordance with the expectations of most analysts, private consumption expenditure (PCE) increased by 0.4% slightly better than expected, standing on 0.3%, but excluding transportation core private consumption rose only by 0.1% in accordance with the prediction.



While the data do not indicate a deterioration in consumers or slowed their activities, but the data were not good enough to provide inspiration and merchants do not predict an improvement in growth because there is not enough to bump the U.S. economic activity.



Consumer Action therefore reflects the behavior of capital markets traders - maintaining the existing waiting cautiously to see to see what the future holds.



Contrast to the conduct of markets and investors, we have witnessed increased activity in mergers and acquisitions (M & A):



Intel Corporation (INTC) has released a tender offer at $ 1.4 billion in cash for god company Infineon wires.


Pharmaceutical company Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) offered $ 18.5 billion in cash for the company Genzyme (GENZ), but the proposal was rejected outright on the grounds that is not enough.


All-out war between HP and Dell continues to grab headlines from HP current bid stands at $ 30 (price starting at $ 24 offered by Dell).
3M (MMM), Dow index record - Jones offered $ 430 million, or $ 10.50 per share for the company Cogent (COGT).



Despite the increased activity of mergers and acquisitions indicates that most of the Bavarian market (so it is a strong market) traders and especially the buyers were not impressed too much of Kenya and no secondary waves (about companies in parallel to those offered to buy them from the expected competition between the giants, for example if the company acquires Intel al - a thread is a good chance of its rival AMD also try to take over the market share in order to avoid too great a gap created with Intel).



Ignoring the traders did not come by surprise because we assumed that every piece of advance information will be examined with suspicion and lead to a limited response because it is likely that investors will prefer to sit on the fence which is given monthly employment Peveot most important point each month.



The next employment report will be published this Friday, many investors will examine the employment data private companies greater importance given total employment (as the government is expected to fire the central part of the temporary employees last census project and the overall figure would indicate a decrease of 100,000 jobs, but the important question How many jobs is "real" companies have been added.



Fell in light trading volumes and those cautious investors chose to exercise for trading ups profits last weekend.



Uncertainty at the VIX index (measure of volatility is also called the fear index) leaped by 11% merchants have chosen to withdraw their money in the stock and return the spoon bond market, the yield on bonds to 10 years back down toward 2.53%.



Another enjoys investor fears rate was measured against the currency basket rose by 0.3%, most traffic came almost as a result of weakening of the percentage of the rate against the dollar, compared with rate weak Japanese yen offset part of the continuing strengthening of the dollar to strengthen against him, the strengthening of the wine came despite an unsuccessful first attempt Japanese Central Bank to intervene and weaken the wine trade.







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Dow Jones closed a 1.39% decline of the 10 008 gate



Nasdaq closed 1.56% decline of 2119's Gate



S & P 500 closed 1.47% decline of the cover of 1049



Dax closed 0.65% decline of 5912's Gate



Potts closed the owner of 0.02% on the cover of 5202



Nikkei is trading 3.55% decline of the cover of 8824





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Important macro data continues to be displayed to traders will increase the pace goes up employment figures on Friday.



The big question is are hiding in the data surprise (positively or negatively) large enough to lead the market's movement before the outbreak of the data shuffle on Friday?



Note in particular the Chicago purchasing managers index for U.S. consumer confidence to have them vote on the future of economic activity as observed Eini businesses and consumers.





Table data for today includes:




10:55 change in unemployment in Germany.
11:00 Retail sales in Italy.
11:30 Net loans private mortgage certificates in England.
12:00 Consumer Price Index rate of unemployment in Europe.
13:00 Unemployment in Italy.
15:30 Growth (GDP) in Canada.
16:00 index of home prices in 20 major U.S. cities
16:45 PMI Chicago District of the U.S..
17:00 U.S. consumer confidence index.
21:00 U.S. Fed meeting minutes





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EUR / USD

Overcoming fears of traders as we approach the weekend for the data continue to put pressure on the rate and lead investors to flee the dollar, although the macro data failed to ignite the imagination of investors but did not indicate a deterioration in conditions that significantly strengthened the U.S. dollar defense, then broke the 100 average monthly (1.2803) over last month it seems that rate way to break the average back down, in this situation it seems that the dollar got enough momentum to continue to decline, but again the data published on Friday, investors will likely care Wemmshko profits along the way, rate finished the last drop of 0.77% on the cover of 1.2663, expect for the day: See Graph A.





GBP / USD

The pound continues to shuffle around the 200 daily average from a position of waiting for data from the weekend, the last trading day for a month and a technical point agenda with critical, last month, the pound managed to break and close above the average 20 (1.5542) if and succeed to make her day close above the trend of the average 20 Immigration preserve more likely to continue strengthening but below the average closing may ignite a wave of strong sales would push the pound down, the pound finished the last drop of 0.41% on the cover of 1.5461, forecast for today: see graph in





USD / JPY:

The decline in the pair is one of the pictures most obvious technical Vahpondomantaliut capital market for several months, also if investors feared the intervention of the Japanese central bank would lead to irrational movements in the dollar strengthening Hall artificial wine, arrived yesterday and proved that experience in the Japanese bank's intervention does not lead to a necessary increase in pair, On the other hand the last three years closed each month a new low for the correction led him up (the current month is closed today) and the presence of the pair of 15-year low this increases chances of any technical correction increases, the dollar finished the last drop of 0.78% on the cover of 84.55, Forecast Today: See Graph C





Gold:

Gold continued to stand on hold when investors refuse to get rid of the maintenance of confidence from one gold but yet there has been a significant run-escape gold despite sharp declines in stock markets, it appears that traders prefer to wait as much as possible, review the entire macro data traffic in accordance with the prediction of medium-term to decide whether to run or from gold, gold finished the last drop of 0.08% on the cover of $ 1,236 per ounce, forecast for today: Go shuffling between $ 1,230 to $ 1,240





Oil;

Oil falls back on track against the weaker stock markets and the increasing concerns among world traders that prevents them from entering positions, Asian indices crash at night at dawn (the Japanese Nikkei index losing more than 3.5% now) sends the oil to below $ 74 a barrel and if not there will be significant changes It seems that the direction of oil will continue to be below forecast for today: a decline towards $ 71.60

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Lack of technical resistance levels against the market momentum investors to enter positions concerns led the U.S. indices finished the last downhill goals despite improved weekly unemployment claims, late race pressure sales technical support levels prevented the indices to break new base.


U.S. weekly unemployment claims were on the 473 000 expected this week with claims of 488 000, as well as claims fell after four consecutive weeks of ups who married last week in which he claims the record stood for almost a year (504 000 claims).


Continuing unemployment claims also dropped this week to a level of 4.46 million claims against the 4.52 million claims last week.


After it became clear that unemployment claims are not as bad as expected / feared leading indices opened the trading day on the climbs goals while extending the previous day's gains, despite walking two daily gains did not take long until the shares met with resistance, as well as premier rally were arrested and spent the leading indicators the next several hours shuffling around the natural line.


After several hours of shuffling missing since traders began to realize profits yesterday and yesterday's ups and reduce exposure to the end of the week, the decline in support levels were arrested for stopping the declines early this week, sellers have tried again to develop a momentum that would break the support levels and create an ongoing pattern in decline, despite attempts sellers managed to just finish the trading day and downs, but failed to build a significant decline.


Indices finished this downhill, then the fifth day of the last six trading days.


Technology stocks were among the biggest losers yesterday, despite the new Wadia regarding the war on the acquisition of 3Par, at this stage it appears that the winner is Dell, which announced that the proposed acquisition is access to a total of $ 24.30 per share was accepted, the proposal won the bid of Dell's largest competitor, the company Hewlett-Packard submitted a proposal for $ 24.00 per share.


U.S. government bonds began the day with declines in the yields in light of the supers must shifting money exchanges in the bond market for stocks, but stock markets led to the reversal of the direction s bond rates increases when investors sell their holdings in stocks smuggle their money back to the bonds, running bond yields back the lower their level, bond yields to 10 years used to determine the mortgage interest rate loans fell again to a level of 2.499%


U.S. Dollar Index remained under moderate pressure throughout the trading day, the index lost 0.5% of its value mainly as a result of the strengthening of the euro against the dollar, strengthening of the euro came after Ireland failed to make capital with high demand levels Download this week despite its credit rating.


Asian indices in the early morning pass gates increases the level of unemployment in Japan has declined from a level of 5.3% of workforce 5.2% level, in addition to Japan that has the CPI stands at 1.1% - an annual level indicates that Japan's economy still lost Bdiplcia.


It is very important to pay attention to the macro data published today in the U.S. since the uncertainty in which traders are in a today data has lead to significant fluctuations and long.


*** Should be updated during the afternoon (at 15:00 to 18:00) with trading room macroeconomic developments and the meaning of the data!



-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------





Dow Jones closed a 0.74% decline of 9986 Gate


Nasdaq closed 1.07% decline of 2119's Gate


S & P 500 closed 0.76% decline of the cover of 1047


Dax closed 0.22% owner of a 5913 gate


Potts closed the owner of 0.91% on the cover of 5156


Nikkei traded owner of 0.76% on the cover of 8975




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



In recent weeks, traders were to increasing uncertainty regarding the future of the global economy in general and U.S. in particular.


Today's data is then given too much importance as it has Abamatahtan can shed light on the future, the attention given Thoasat growth (GDP) in the U.S. published today, Michigan index of consumer data, growth in England as well as the consumer price index in Germany


But no doubt Bernanke's speech the U.S. central bank chairman to the Conference of Ministers of Kansas Finance and the Governor containing central banks around the world have the central role in the play of the day, the speech topic is "economic outlook and monetary policy the central bank's response to" supposed to touch any sensitive issues that led uncertainty among traders and therefore there is high possibility of severe market fluctuations after the speech.





Table data for today includes:


09:00 Import prices in Germany.
11:30 Growth (GDP) and investment businesses in England.
12:30 Swiss economic barometer.
15:30 Growth (GDP) in the USA.
16:55 to examine the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment in the U.S..
17:00 Speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke in the U.S..




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



EUR / USD
Waiting position below the average level of resistance of 100 daily maintained throughout the day as traders preferred to ignore the reasonable labor market data (weekly unemployment claims drop) in the market houses (shot with a significant amount of mortgages that were at least one payment last quarter), with the publication of important data in the U.S. On Bernanke's speech seems that the trade shares for trading until Friday late afternoon and commerce after the data, you may want to lie in wait to break Shlrmoat important by the market and analyzes the data published during the day, finished the last rate rise of 0.42% on the cover of 1.2716, expected today : See Graph A.




GBP / USD
After Sshlshum pound could bounce back above the daily average 200 pound continued to climb yesterday, but the lack of momentum investors' fears about the data posted to the pound today prevented a significant break-up, similar to the euro area would be waiting pound macro-economic developments in the U.S., but unlike traders on the pound rate will Advertising is also subject to growth in England could ignite a strong movement in itself regardless of euro, the pound finished the last owner of 0.32% on the cover of 1.5523, expect for the day: see graph in




USD / JPY:
Without special momentum traders behave carefully when data for the day, the pair had written a special traffic during the day, during the night and this morning we see a pair facility is backed up in Japan as a result of increases in the stock market decline in unemployment, but Elite duo does not change the trend as traders wait for U.S. data closely "In trading before the open and opening a significant movement, the pair finished the last drop of 0.17% on the cover of 84.46, expected for today: See Graph C




GBP / AUD:
Reasonable in light of data from England on the one hand oil prices in Australia on the other hand hits the pair managed to get from a level of 1.65 in April-May level of 1.75 from July, the duo manages to keep himself above the average 20 daily last week and average 200 daily backup seems that Long transactions can yield excellent profit and loss ratio, the pair finished the last owner of 0.21% on the cover of 1.7515, forecast for today: See Graph D.


Gold:
Like all the gold market into a position of waiting for the macro data of the day, if this data point at the bad conditions we will see exchanges Kenya decline massive gates of gold, on the other hand improved the mood of investors is expected to lead to send the gold to repair down, gold finished the last drop of 0.32% gate of $ 1,240 per ounce, forecast for today: standby alert and aggressive hacking




Oil;
Yesterday at the opening of the oil could keep the patch up to $ 74 a barrel, but with the return of U.S. indices decline slightly weakened the oil is now trading around $ 73 a barrel, as well as all the market traders on the black gold will be waiting intently to hear the words of Bernanke on the economic outlook and U.S. GDP growth data, from the direction the economy Itashfr to better predict the expected demand for oil and hence the traffic you get to the oil, forecast for today: standby alert and aggressive hacking


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Lack of technical resistance levels against the market momentum investors to enter positions concerns led the U.S. indices finished the last downhill goals despite improved weekly unemployment claims, late race pressure sales technical support levels prevented the indices to break new base.


U.S. Weekly unemployment claims were on the 473 000 expected this week with claims of 488 000, as well as claims fell after four consecutive weeks of ups who married last week in which he claims the record stood for almost a year (504 000 claims).


Continuing unemployment claims also dropped this week to a level of 4.46 million claims against the 4.52 million claims last week.


After it became clear that unemployment claims are not as bad as expected / feared leading indices opened the trading day on the climbs goals while extending the previous day's gains, despite walking two daily gains did not take long until the shares met with resistance, as well as premier rally were arrested and spent the leading indicators the next several hours shuffling around the natural line.


After several hours of shuffling missing since traders began to realize profits yesterday and yesterday's ups and reduce exposure to the end of the week, the decline in support levels were arrested for stopping the declines early this week, sellers have tried again to develop a momentum that would break the support levels and create an ongoing pattern in decline, despite attempts sellers managed to just finish the trading day and downs, but failed to build a significant decline.


Indices finished this downhill, then the fifth day of the last six trading days.


Technology stocks were among the biggest losers yesterday, despite the new Wadia regarding the war on acquisition 3Par, at this stage it appears that the winner is Dell, which announced that the proposed acquisition is access to a total of $ 24.30 per share was accepted, the proposal had won the largest competitor's bid of Dell, the company Hewlett-Packard submitted a proposal for $ 24.00 per share.


U.S. government bonds began the day with declines in the yields in light of the supers must shifting money exchanges in the bond market for stocks, but stock markets led to the reversal of the direction s bond rates increases when investors sell their holdings in stocks smuggle their money back to the bonds, running bond yields back the lower their level, bond yields to 10 years used to determine the mortgage interest rate loans fell again to a level of 2.499%


U.S. Dollar Index remained under moderate pressure throughout the trading day, the index lost 0.5% of its value mainly as a result of the strengthening of the euro against the dollar, strengthening of the euro came after Ireland failed to make capital with high demand levels Download this week despite its credit rating.


Asian indices in the early morning pass gates increases the level of unemployment in Japan has declined from a level of 5.3% of the workforce to a level of 5.2%, Japan also has the CPI stands at 1.1% - an annual level indicates that Japan's economy still lost Bdiplcia.


It is very important to pay attention to the macro data published today in the U.S. since the uncertainty in which traders are in a today data has lead to significant fluctuations and long.


*** Should be updated during the afternoon (at 15:00 to 18:00) with the trading room and macro economic developments and the meaning of the data!



-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------





Dow Jones closed a 0.74% decline of 9986 Gate


Nasdaq closed 1.07% decline of 2119's Gate


S & P 500 closed 0.76% decline of the cover of 1047


Dax closed 0.22% owner of the cover of 5913


Potts closed the owner of 0.91% on the cover of 5156


Nikkei traded owner of 0.76% on the cover of 8975




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



In recent weeks, traders were to increasing uncertainty regarding the future of the global economy in general and U.S. in particular.


Today's data is then given too much importance as it has Abamatahtan can shed light on the future, the attention given Thoasat growth (GDP) in the U.S. published today, Michigan index of consumer data, growth in England as well as the consumer price index in Germany


But no doubt Chairman Bernanke's speech the U.S. central bank to the Conference of Ministers of Kansas Finance and the Governor containing central banks around the world have the central role in the play of the day, the speech topic is "the economic outlook and monetary policy the central bank's response to" supposed to touch any sensitive issues that led uncertainty among traders and therefore there is high possibility of severe market fluctuations after the speech.





Table data for today includes:


09:00 Import prices in Germany.
11:30 Growth (GDP) and investment businesses in England.
12:30 Swiss economic barometer.
15:30 Growth (GDP) in the USA.
16:55 to examine the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment in the U.S..
17:00 Speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke in the U.S..




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



EUR / USD
Waiting position below the average level of resistance of 100 daily maintained throughout the day as traders preferred to ignore the reasonable labor market data (weekly unemployment claims drop) in the market house (shot with a significant amount of mortgages that were at least one payment last quarter), with the publication of important data in the U.S. On Bernanke's speech seems that the trade shares for trading until Friday late afternoon and commerce after the data, you should lurk break Shlrmoat important by the market and analyzes the data published during the day, finished the last rate rise of 0.42% on the cover of 1.2716, expected today : See Graph A.




GBP / USD
After Sshlshum pound could bounce back above the daily average 200 pound yesterday continued to climb, but the lack of momentum investors' fears about the data published today prevented a significant breakthrough to pound up, pound as euro wait macro-economic developments in the U.S. sector, but unlike the pound rate traders will Advertising is also subject to growth in England that could ignite a strong movement in itself and regardless euro, pound finished the last owner of 0.32% on the cover of 1.5523, expect for the day: see graph in




USD / JPY:
Without special momentum traders behave carefully when data for the day, the pair had written a special traffic during the day, during the night and this morning we see a pair facility is backed up in Japan as a result of increases in the stock market decline in unemployment, but Elite duo does not change the trend as traders wait for U.S. data closely "In trading before the open and opening a significant movement, the pair finished the last drop of 0.17% on the cover of 84.46, expected for today: See Graph C




GBP / AUD:
Reasonable in light of data from England on the one hand oil prices in Australia on the other hand hits the pair managed to get from a level of 1.65 in April-May level of 1.75 from July, the duo manages to keep himself above the average 20 daily last week and average 200 daily backup seems that Long transactions can yield excellent profit and loss ratio, the pair finished the last owner of 0.21% on the cover of 1.7515, forecast for today: See Graph D.


Gold:
Like all the gold market into a position of waiting for the macro data of the day, if this data point at the bad conditions we will see exchanges Kenya decline massive gates of gold, on the other hand improved the mood of investors is expected to lead to send the gold to repair down, gold finished the last drop of 0.32% gate of $ 1,240 per ounce, forecast for today: standby alert and aggressive hacking




Oil;
Yesterday at the opening of the oil could keep the patch up to $ 74 a barrel, but with the return of U.S. indices decline in oil also weakened slightly and is trading now around $ 73 a barrel, as well as all the market traders will be waiting for the black gold intently to hear the words of Bernanke on the economic outlook and U.S. GDP growth data, from the direction the economy Itashfr to better predict the expected demand for oil and hence the traffic you get to the oil, forecast for today: standby alert and aggressive hacking

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Another round of very weak macro data investors hit and bounced the double recession fears put the sky.


Despite the weak macro data, leading indicators failed to find support, to offset the losses with the help of rally towards the end of trading to finish the climbs. It was the first increase after four consecutive trading days of the drops.


Leading indices fell by about 4% during the previous four trading days and opening U.S. trade pointed to another weak opening.


European stock exchanges early today even managed to ignore the downloading of Ireland's credit rating company by Standard & Poor's AA rating of AA-rated, but continuous pressure on sellers who want to leave the stock market, for fear that global economic turbulence, led the index decline sharply.


In addition, stock markets fell in morning in Asia, with China's Shanghai index falls 2% in the Japanese Nikkei index deep into the territory of the early decline.


Nikkei continued to fall, though he could get away a little wine than the highest it came on Tuesday, and reports are updated exports begin to show how profound impact strength due to exports of wine. And reported that the Japanese Finance Minister hair considering direct intervention of the wine due to ongoing injury concerns exports.


Great disappointment in sales in the U.S. Durable Goods markets contributed to the negative tone, with total sales material goods for July increased by only 0.3%, far away than expected, was the increase of 3.0% (but it is important to note updated June Abstract up and decline a 1.0% decrease of 0.1% only).


Excluding transportation (core CPI), Durable Goods sales dropped in 3.8%, falling significantly stronger standing in front of the expected increase of 0.6% (core index also given updated last month to an increase of 0.2% against a decline of 0.6%).


The negative tone intensified after new home sales for July fell 12.4% compared to a month before an annual level of 276 000 homes only, lower than expected, he was on 333 000 new homes. The fall in sales of new homes continues the line of houses on the market recession introduced Shlshloma existing home sales.


Support levels were broken and money fled the decline of more than 1%, but the measures failed to find support and began to fix up. Amendment introduced a wave of profit and closing of short positions in (short covering) that led to the expansion of the expansion wave of shopping and eventually delete the falls.


Who continues to be better than expected data in a lighthouse in choppy water is Germany. After it has updated its forecast for its growth last week, yesterday presented her German business confidence index and beyond prediction beyond the level of trust last month (106.7 against 105.8 expected the previous 106.2). Today will be consumer confidence in Germany will be interesting to see whether the improvement in Europe's largest economy also began to seep into the public.




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------





Dow Jones closed 0.20% owner of the 10 060 gate



Nasdaq closed 0.84% owner of a 2142 gate



S & P 500 closed 0.33% owner of a 1055 gate



Dax closed 0.61% decline of 5899's Gate



Potts closure of .90% decline of 5109 Gate



Nikkei traded owner of 0.39% on the cover of 8883


-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------




In principle, the day is the quiet before the storm, when the data calendar full day low-level data for the really important data tomorrow. But given the weakness of the macro data in light sensitivity of investors, as well as given two non-compliance rate mortgage payments last quarter, the U.S. can present a significant wave markets.


Table data for today includes:


09:00 Consumer confidence in Germany.
10:15 Unemployment rate in Switzerland.
11:00 Quantity (Base - 3M) money in Europe.
13:00 UK retail sales.
15:30 U.S. weekly unemployment claims.
17:00 rate of failure to meet mortgage payments in the U.S..



-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



EUR / USD
The pair continues to be traded between a rock and a hard place - on the one hand fear of economic turbulence still pushing the haven investors flee the dollar, on the other very weak macro data continue to point to the U.S. last fall primary victim in Germany shows signs of stabilization and growth. Uncertainty prevents traders to break clear direction when attempts to break through the 1.2730 (average 100) failed while attempting to create new low was blocked as well. Investors will continue to track the stock markets and the conduct of macro data, but the real break is necessary to formulate the medium-term direction. finished the last rate rise of 0.25% cover of 1.2663, expect today: See Graph A.



GBP / usd
Daily average of 50 pounds continued to provide support and reversal of direction in the U.S. leading indicators renewed spirit Abmfrsi Haifa pound. That the pound could fall to delete the opening day, and finish the day to close above the 200 daily average. The most important macro data for England tomorrow (growth / GDP prices bytes) it appears that volatility will continue to pound channel. The pound ended the last owner of 0.44% on the cover of 1.5473, forecast for today: see graph in



USD / JPY:
The pair managed to repair the fracture Sshlshum new multi-year lows significant. During the day, more investors tried to sell the pair and took him again on the brink of the 84 dollar wine, but the weak U.S. macro data on the one hand and repair on the other stock markets led the duo to repeat it. A technical trend is maintained long after the repair back to produce new low. The pair finished the last owner of 0.56% on the cover of 84.60, expected for today: See Graph C



USD / CAD:
Coin with a high Korolcia goods and oil, over the past week the Canadian dollar weakened significantly against the dollar, and the weak Canadian dollar has led to the pair above the resistance area of the pair. Looking over the past year, the duo can be seen that a wide range slow shuffle. Oil patch will continue to shuffle the pair to correct downwards. The pair finished the last owner of 0.15% on the cover of 1.0593, expect for the day: See Graph D.



Gold:
Change the direction on the exchanges was not impressed with the dollar gold, many investors continued to flee to invest in gold toward the perceived safe channel times of extreme uncertainty. As a result, gold extended the rally and now he is facing back toward the main trend reached record highs two months ago. Gold finished the last owner of 0.89% on the cover of $ 1,240 per ounce, expected today: the $ 1,241 it



Oil;
Difficult U.S. macro data sharp declines in world markets led to further declines in oil prices after investors believe that oil demand levels impact going to be very difficult. With the decline yesterday morning on the exchanges in Asia and Europe, pushed Shurtastem oil into the line and $ 70 a barrel but failed to break it. change of direction on the exchanges in the evening sent the oil to fix the resistance line in the $ 73 (average 100 daily). The question "Where from here?" depends on many leading indicators. Forecast for today: a slight rise toward $ 74.20


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Books I read:

Name: Essays on the end of the millennium

Writer: Aviva Doron Ziva Shamir (ed.)

Publisher: KM.

When I read: February 2002, Jerusalem.

Browse.

Abstract: This collection of essays on the novel "Journey to the end of the millennium" (AB Yehoshua).

Some of them are all about the analysis of feminist book (on the one hand has a large number of women on the other hand

There are women judges in rabbinical courts). Another part of the issue of tension between the Ashkenazi Diaspora Spanish (based on novel

Including intense controversy at the time (late 10th century) - polygamy).

What is it that articles claim that such a completely opposite things from each other!

I remember one article claimed that the novel tries to show the superiority (moral, social) of Article A second Eastern Jewry

Argued just the opposite.

Score: +8

What I felt:

I found this book on the shelf in the library case on Mount Scopus between the rate of lesson.

Since the end of that "Head millennium" is one of the best books I enjoyed them I decided to try to read it even though the last time I read

Literary Article adult literature was before (and that was long ago).

The articles made me think about a lot of things that I thought about while reading the novel.

In short - it was really fun to read a books.

and for making money i read forex books

Review of Forex, commodities and capital markets

Trading Yesterday marked by lack of direction and low cycles, when traders prefer to sit on the fence and wait for the macro data of the weekend.


Increases began trading goals in Europe in the morning, grew louder toward the afternoon and the positive opening of the U.S. reached its peak and the percentage increases.

However, beyond the U.S. stock market indices decline led the Europeans to offset some visible early.


European indices increases came despite the PMI data were lower than expected, pointing to a sense among European businesses that the situation is not expected to improve significantly in the near future.


Purchasing Managers Index of France was expected to 59.9 against 60.7. Of PMI stood at 58.2 in Germany against expectations of 60.9, and he appealed the Defense about increasing Germany's growth forecast published last week by the German central bank.'s Purchasing Managers Index of all Europe was 55.0 against expectations of 56.3.


Messages on more mergers and acquisitions leading indicators sent the U.S. to open at the beginning of positive passionate trading, while they also attract the indices in Europe with them.


Technical resistance levels reach dealers will not be caught with positions for the weekend data brightening economic picture, led the index relatively quickly erase all the gains in the early and go downs. Rest of the day turned around the natural line with no clear direction, strong sales pressure at the end of the trading day led the indices decline near the end of their daily lows.


Among the interesting acquisitions have an Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) to acquire the company 3Par (PAR) for $ 24 a share, a premium of 33% over the price Dell (DELL) agreed to pay for that company recently.


Potash Corporation (POT) finally rejected numerous attempts to purchase aluminum giant BHP Billiton (BHP) has announced that the search for an investor / buyer then, when market rumors tell of attempts to approach the company purchases its part, the Chinese government.


All the activity M & A (M = M, A = Acquisitions) whether actual or rumored, taken as a positive and pushed the indices in early trading as a percentage of increases.
However, traders showed their insecurity, measured the S & P 500 lost Momentum with its approach to the 1080 points area.


Initial dissolved upon metrics were traded around their natural line (point early in the day), the buyers have not committed additional effort to push the indices up.

Instead, sellers put pressure later led the indices to close the lowest levels for a month. Due to selling pressure voluntary exercise and small private traders holding out at this stage of the stock market.


U.S. Dollar Index strengthened by 0.2% against the currency basket as traders prefer the job security rate, once the leading U.S. indices moved to decline.




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



Dow Jones closed a 0.38% decline of the 10 174 gate



Nasdaq closed 0.92% decline of 2160's Gate



S & P 500 closed 0.40% decline of the cover of 1067



Dax closed 0.10% owner of a 6011 gate



Potts closed the owner of 0.76% on the cover of 5235



Nikkei traded a 1.18% decline of 9009 Gate




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------

U.S. homes market data published today in the form of existing homes sales data, sales data tomorrow the new houses are supposed to give another look at the degree of U.S. economic activity. Although the sequence data will be important only in fifth and sixth, but there is also significant general data accumulation, so investors will follow closely the market situation of the houses and they want to see the impact on the stock exchange.


European industrial orders data and retail sales in Canada will complete the day's most important triangle.



Table data for today includes:
09:00 GDP Final in Germany.
11:30 UK mortgage approvals.
12:00 European industrial orders.
15:30 Retail Sales in Canada.
16:00 business climate in Belgium.
17:00 Existing home sales index for U.S. manufacturing Aricmond district.




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



EUR / USD
Euro continues to weaken after many investors prefer to flee the dollar for the unknown due to the uncertainty. After that he closed last week below the average 20 week trading below the average 100 monthly, open himself to a technical rate was used track falls into cycles at low yesterday in preparation for publication of all data on the weekend. The following support levels are at 1.2530 and 1.2170, and 1.2605 is the patch level of 50% over the gains from 1.1875 to 1.3333 - Save this level will result in faster toward the first target at least. Rate finished the last drop of 0.46% on the cover of 1.2649, forecast for today: See Graph A.




Gbp / usd
Yesterday the pound continued to ping pong between the daily average of 200 average daily 20. Trading began yesterday with another attempt to get the average 20 daily, but stopping the U.S. stock market increases the transition rate drops down while pulling led to reversal because 200 is stopped daily average. After a volatile day, the pound is finished with a slight decline and investors will look for a break of one of the directions In order to move fast and aggressive. The pound finished the last drop of 0.18% on the cover of 1.5501, expect for the day: see graph in



USD / JPY:
Click flight sales led to further exchanges of the Japanese yen pushed investors to snap deal again with the multi-year recession. But the level of support turns out to be rigid, in the absence of stock markets cycles traders managed to push the pair momentum breaking attempt to produce more. The pair is now trading around the low levels of annual Rabbi, with traders waiting alert and monitoring of macro data and the conduct of leading indices. It seems that the first act of panic - whether it be justified or not - the pair will find itself produces sharp sharp base. The pair finished the last drop of 0.51% on the cover of 85.11, expected for today: See Graph C



GBP / CHF:
For September 2009 the pair moved in an orderly trading range is very large (wide shuffle), with peak levels at 1.71 levels are lowest at 1.58. The pair had been four waves complete (from a peak low back) and a large number of partial movements. Currently the pair is near the lowest in the 1.6060 levels. The pair finished the last owner of 0.55% on the cover of 1.6143, expect for the day: See Graph D.



Gold:
Despite the fall in stock markets, gold yesterday came about as a result of technical pressure as we saw yesterday. Daily graph pressure is expected to lead to average 50 gold daily chart, the level of $ 1,211 an ounce. This level is expected gold to find support and get alert for during the week. Gold finished the last drop of 0.33% on the cover of $ 1,223 an ounce, currently forecast: a decline toward $ 1,211



Oil;
Oil prices continue to go down and oil is now trading below $ 73 a barrel, after investors find it difficult to see how the global economic growth back on track quickly, so how will the level of demand for oil. If indeed the leading indicators continue to decline for the day wave weekend data oil is expected to continue its way down. Forecast for today: a decline towards $ 71.80 a barrel

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Review of Forex, commodities and capital markets

Complete loss of faith led economic recovery in free fall spread all world markets, leading indicators registered the sharpest declines recorded in the last two months and strong technical support levels failed to prevent recent decline yesterday hysterical panic.


Traders turned Lfasimioat after China has released a series of bad macro data than expected (Retail sales especially industrial production).


China and Japan last year and placed second largest economy in recent years especially after the 2008 crisis, China is the engine of global growth.


Along the very long period of growth in China seemed immune to damage and slowed, and now Mshsimnim first of harm in Qatar, both outside (and this is more likely to face recession in the U.S. and Europe), but even worse at home, expressed the macro data, many traders are concerned the injury Satazalog exacerbation slowing worldwide world economy.


Publications Japan did not help the mood of investors when a given ordering machines shortsighted economic forecast revised down exacerbated the concern of investors combined with new low of 15 years in wine / Dollar's collapse led to more than 2.5% of the stock market in Japan.


Even the Bank of England could not produce enough faith in economic growth after the speech, King returned to the Bank of England chairman warned that the risks to growth remained high despite the apparent improvement in the economy, the central bank lowered its forecast for growth in England region 3% to 2012 against the previous forecast of 3.6%.


The worst wave of data has continued with England that the number of unemployment benefits seekers fell by only 3,800, far than expected, was a decline of 17,000 claimants, and far last month's figure even after the latter was amended down to 15 900 (about 20 800 was at first).


Canada and the U.S. trade balance showed deterioration (U.S. B49.9-front of the B42.0-expected, Canada B1.1-B0.1 of the expected front-) and complete picture of economic activity declines.


Economic messages arrived after Fed announced Monday night that once again economic growth is expected to be lower than expected initial short term.


A deadly combination of startling economic macro messages and an inability to build market momentum and a month after a wave of increases in recent weeks, led investors to take the opportunity to realize profits in stocks / commodities / forex / indicators.


The falls were in Asia through Europe swept the U.S., when all the world's leading indexes shed between 2% to 3%, despite sharp declines in markets not Neershmah hysteria trading volume remained low and average, the markets were able to find technical support stop the declines, the real test will be day and check whether the hysteria would be built and money will continue to collapse.


In response to the Fed that the declaration of intention to purchase government bonds following the sharp declines in stock markets worldwide traders fled the stock markets bond market, boosted bond s price and yield led to the new base (the first part of the process the Fed wanted to achieve, part two will increase credit bonds due cheapest private businesses), so the interest on U.S. bonds fell to 10 years to 2.68%


Rate found himself kind of cash when investors fled the stock markets as the dollar came Abagersbioat protective shelter, the dollar index jumped 1.9% in the front basket of currencies, the biggest jump this year, like the Euro and Pound last period are those leading the fight against the dollar and most of the strengthening of the dollar Amagelshutam arrived, contrary to Japanese yen yesterday recorded a 15-year record against the dollar at the end of the day came a little wine last traded above the level of 85 dollar wine, so many investors looking at it as a last defense of the dollar against the wine.




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------



Dow Jones closed a 2.49% decline of the 10 379 gate



Nasdaq closed 3.01% decline of 2209's Gate



S & P 500 closed 2.85% decline of the cover of 1089



Dax closed 2.10% decline of 6154's Gate



Potts closed decline of 2.44% on the cover of 5245



Nikkei traded a 1.22% decline of 9181 Gate




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------


After Sshlshum U.S. and disappointed investors yesterday, China, Japan and England were disappointing as well, now Europe will publish a monthly report to the European Central Bank (ECB), many investors are wondering whether Europe will disappoint and give the final stamp of slowing growth and put into a recession.


Even the U.S. weekly unemployment claims caught the eye especially after the weakness of the labor market as seen in the data from Friday monthly



Table data for today includes:

11:00 monthly report of the ECB in Europe.
12:00 Industrial production in Europe and the balance of trade in Italy.
Weekly unemployment claims 15:30 prices of U.S. imports.
17:30 U.S. natural gas inventory.




-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------


EUR / USD
Disappointing sequence of macro data around the world boosted investor fears of a recession before entering another and wanting to protect themselves from the hysteria and many investors turned to the dollar, The rush began in the morning but the real rally stemming panic among investors came after the pair broke the 1.3000 level, panic led to a fall of more than 350 pips only halted by the average 100 daily, end of the day despite the sharp fall in stock markets is not a real hysteria developed here where the question much depends on future markets, ended the last rate decrease of 2.51% on the cover of 1.2845, expect for the day: See Graph A. '



GBP / USD
King traders hoped that the British central bank chairman will describe a more optimistic picture and not cut the An updated growth forecast last quarter, up only, ultimately disappointed and even King Labor market data were worse than expected, the data of the pound hit his attempts to break through the line and led 1.6000 it correct to average 20 daily chart, no other macro data that are likely to be released this week the pound is expected to be traded in the shadow of the rate and move according to the dollar, the break will save probably next week, the pound finished the last drop of 1.32% on the cover of 1.5641, expect for the day: see graph on '



USD / JPY:
15-year low recorded yesterday during the day when the pair broke down and reached up to 84.73 dollar wine, this level did not last long the pair returned to cope with the level of 85 dollar Sneaakabat wine with great interest by traders, many investors believe that was touching a new low shaking of the markets and breaking term, but duo Ahsharotho of the 85 level close to leaving the traders on high alert, the pair finished the last drop of 0.08% on the cover of 85.25, expected for today: See Graph C



Gold:
During the last five days the average trench traded gold supported the merchants' uncertainty about the economy in the medium term, the period of the current shuffle comes to an end in light of sharp movements in world markets and registered by the average approaching 100 technical pressure that he will run, although gold also fell yesterday, stock markets decline, but the extent downs will panic are likely to see frightened investors fleeing to gold, gold finished the last drop of 0.58% on the cover of $ 1,197 an ounce, currently forecast: See Graph D.



Oil;
Uncertainty in the markets gave way to grave concern about global growth prospects Upasimioat stock market rally to show more economic slowdown fears stock markets dropped hampered the oil trade from the assessment that will seriously damage oil demand, oil is sent when the sharp declines very surprising drop in U.S. oil inventory " in failed to stop the decline, only in the daily average of 50 ($ 77 a barrel) oil was able to find support, the rest will depend on the mood of investors which would be possible to conclude that U.S. armchairs, Forecast for today: on the $ 79.20 before the U.S.



Questions, ideas and requests, please contact to: Darchevits@yahoo.com

Fruitful trading day for all of us
Tal Dresvic team Forxlnat





*** Legend graphs:
Thick red line: average just 200 times
Thick blue line: simple average 100 times
Thick gray line: Average 50 periods just
7 lines Toarachiz: tracks 1 +2 +4 Bulinger standard deviations (thick quo means 20 is the average
Periods, two thick lines in 4 standard deviations are thin lines are 1
Deviation and two deviations)
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
MACD





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