Review of Forex, commodities and capital markets

Complete loss of faith led economic recovery in free fall spread all world markets, leading indicators registered the sharpest declines recorded in the last two months and strong technical support levels failed to prevent recent decline yesterday hysterical panic.


Traders turned Lfasimioat after China has released a series of bad macro data than expected (Retail sales especially industrial production).


China and Japan last year and placed second largest economy in recent years especially after the 2008 crisis, China is the engine of global growth.


Along the very long period of growth in China seemed immune to damage and slowed, and now Mshsimnim first of harm in Qatar, both outside (and this is more likely to face recession in the U.S. and Europe), but even worse at home, expressed the macro data, many traders are concerned the injury Satazalog exacerbation slowing worldwide world economy.


Publications Japan did not help the mood of investors when a given ordering machines shortsighted economic forecast revised down exacerbated the concern of investors combined with new low of 15 years in wine / Dollar's collapse led to more than 2.5% of the stock market in Japan.


Even the Bank of England could not produce enough faith in economic growth after the speech, King returned to the Bank of England chairman warned that the risks to growth remained high despite the apparent improvement in the economy, the central bank lowered its forecast for growth in England region 3% to 2012 against the previous forecast of 3.6%.


The worst wave of data has continued with England that the number of unemployment benefits seekers fell by only 3,800, far than expected, was a decline of 17,000 claimants, and far last month's figure even after the latter was amended down to 15 900 (about 20 800 was at first).


Canada and the U.S. trade balance showed deterioration (U.S. B49.9-front of the B42.0-expected, Canada B1.1-B0.1 of the expected front-) and complete picture of economic activity declines.


Economic messages arrived after Fed announced Monday night that once again economic growth is expected to be lower than expected initial short term.


A deadly combination of startling economic macro messages and an inability to build market momentum and a month after a wave of increases in recent weeks, led investors to take the opportunity to realize profits in stocks / commodities / forex / indicators.


The falls were in Asia through Europe swept the U.S., when all the world's leading indexes shed between 2% to 3%, despite sharp declines in markets not Neershmah hysteria trading volume remained low and average, the markets were able to find technical support stop the declines, the real test will be day and check whether the hysteria would be built and money will continue to collapse.


In response to the Fed that the declaration of intention to purchase government bonds following the sharp declines in stock markets worldwide traders fled the stock markets bond market, boosted bond s price and yield led to the new base (the first part of the process the Fed wanted to achieve, part two will increase credit bonds due cheapest private businesses), so the interest on U.S. bonds fell to 10 years to 2.68%


Rate found himself kind of cash when investors fled the stock markets as the dollar came Abagersbioat protective shelter, the dollar index jumped 1.9% in the front basket of currencies, the biggest jump this year, like the Euro and Pound last period are those leading the fight against the dollar and most of the strengthening of the dollar Amagelshutam arrived, contrary to Japanese yen yesterday recorded a 15-year record against the dollar at the end of the day came a little wine last traded above the level of 85 dollar wine, so many investors looking at it as a last defense of the dollar against the wine.




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Dow Jones closed a 2.49% decline of the 10 379 gate



Nasdaq closed 3.01% decline of 2209's Gate



S & P 500 closed 2.85% decline of the cover of 1089



Dax closed 2.10% decline of 6154's Gate



Potts closed decline of 2.44% on the cover of 5245



Nikkei traded a 1.22% decline of 9181 Gate




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After Sshlshum U.S. and disappointed investors yesterday, China, Japan and England were disappointing as well, now Europe will publish a monthly report to the European Central Bank (ECB), many investors are wondering whether Europe will disappoint and give the final stamp of slowing growth and put into a recession.


Even the U.S. weekly unemployment claims caught the eye especially after the weakness of the labor market as seen in the data from Friday monthly



Table data for today includes:

11:00 monthly report of the ECB in Europe.
12:00 Industrial production in Europe and the balance of trade in Italy.
Weekly unemployment claims 15:30 prices of U.S. imports.
17:30 U.S. natural gas inventory.




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EUR / USD
Disappointing sequence of macro data around the world boosted investor fears of a recession before entering another and wanting to protect themselves from the hysteria and many investors turned to the dollar, The rush began in the morning but the real rally stemming panic among investors came after the pair broke the 1.3000 level, panic led to a fall of more than 350 pips only halted by the average 100 daily, end of the day despite the sharp fall in stock markets is not a real hysteria developed here where the question much depends on future markets, ended the last rate decrease of 2.51% on the cover of 1.2845, expect for the day: See Graph A. '



GBP / USD
King traders hoped that the British central bank chairman will describe a more optimistic picture and not cut the An updated growth forecast last quarter, up only, ultimately disappointed and even King Labor market data were worse than expected, the data of the pound hit his attempts to break through the line and led 1.6000 it correct to average 20 daily chart, no other macro data that are likely to be released this week the pound is expected to be traded in the shadow of the rate and move according to the dollar, the break will save probably next week, the pound finished the last drop of 1.32% on the cover of 1.5641, expect for the day: see graph on '



USD / JPY:
15-year low recorded yesterday during the day when the pair broke down and reached up to 84.73 dollar wine, this level did not last long the pair returned to cope with the level of 85 dollar Sneaakabat wine with great interest by traders, many investors believe that was touching a new low shaking of the markets and breaking term, but duo Ahsharotho of the 85 level close to leaving the traders on high alert, the pair finished the last drop of 0.08% on the cover of 85.25, expected for today: See Graph C



Gold:
During the last five days the average trench traded gold supported the merchants' uncertainty about the economy in the medium term, the period of the current shuffle comes to an end in light of sharp movements in world markets and registered by the average approaching 100 technical pressure that he will run, although gold also fell yesterday, stock markets decline, but the extent downs will panic are likely to see frightened investors fleeing to gold, gold finished the last drop of 0.58% on the cover of $ 1,197 an ounce, currently forecast: See Graph D.



Oil;
Uncertainty in the markets gave way to grave concern about global growth prospects Upasimioat stock market rally to show more economic slowdown fears stock markets dropped hampered the oil trade from the assessment that will seriously damage oil demand, oil is sent when the sharp declines very surprising drop in U.S. oil inventory " in failed to stop the decline, only in the daily average of 50 ($ 77 a barrel) oil was able to find support, the rest will depend on the mood of investors which would be possible to conclude that U.S. armchairs, Forecast for today: on the $ 79.20 before the U.S.



Questions, ideas and requests, please contact to: Darchevits@yahoo.com

Fruitful trading day for all of us
Tal Dresvic team Forxlnat





*** Legend graphs:
Thick red line: average just 200 times
Thick blue line: simple average 100 times
Thick gray line: Average 50 periods just
7 lines Toarachiz: tracks 1 +2 +4 Bulinger standard deviations (thick quo means 20 is the average
Periods, two thick lines in 4 standard deviations are thin lines are 1
Deviation and two deviations)
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
MACD





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